Sunday, December 20, 2009

The Buck List NFL Pick Off: Week 15

New England (-7.5) at Buffalo
John: New England (4)
Ryan: Buffalo (1)
Kevin: New England (4)

Brilliant Prediction (John): Pat Patriot's in jail.  Randy Moss was called out by Chris Gamble.  There are still pictures like this of Tom Brady all over the Internet.  Something has to break right for the Pats this week.

Arizona (-13) at Detroit
John: Arizona (1)
Ryan: Arizona (7)
Kevin: Arizona (1)

Brilliant Prediction (Ryan): 13 is a lot of points, but the Lions are a lot of bad. Arizona's defense should have little trouble shutting down a Detroit offense featuring Daunte Culpepper under center yet again. Kurt Warner and the Arizona offense will be anxious to atone for a lackluster performance in a prime time game last Monday at San Francisco. Detroit has covered the spread only once in the past 8 games. Make it 9.

Cleveland (+2) at Kansas City
John: Kansas City (1)
Ryan: Cleveland (1)
Kevin: Kansas City (1)

Brilliant Prediction (Kevin): Both of these teams are awful.  I'll take the home field advantage with apologies to the great Brady Quinn.


Atlanta (+6) at NY Jets
John: Atlanta (4)
Ryan: Atlanta (3)
Kevin: Atlanta (1)

Brilliant Prediction (John): There's only two things I know about turf toe: (1) it made Jimmy Clausen look mortal for a few weeks this fall; (2) it held the NFL's toughest player, Deion Sanders, out for like half his career.  But I refuse to believe it's a real injury, and hopefully Matt Ryan can return this weekend and play at some functional level.  Because Atlanta is simply a better football team than the Jets, and I will gladly take 6 points here.


San Francisco (+8) at Philadelphia
John: San Francisco (1)
Ryan: San Francisco (1)
Kevin: San Francisco (1)

Brilliant Prediction (Ryan): The Eagles are the better team, but the 49ers proved last week that an aggressive secondary can slow down even the most dangerous aerial attack. Things don't get easier this week in Philadelphia, but the forecasted 15-20 mph winds favor the power running game of the 49ers and should help to keep Donovan McNabb and DeSean Jackson off the score sheet. The Eagles win, but the Niners will keep it close.

Houston (-13.5) at St. Louis
John: St. Louis (2)
Ryan: Houston (2)
Kevin: Houston (1)

Brilliant Prediction (Kevin): The Lions have one win.  They have lost by fourteen or more points on six different occasions this year.  The Texans should win in a rout.

Miami (+4) at Tennessee
John: Tennessee (1)
Ryan: Miami (1)
Kevin: Tennessee (1)

Brilliant Prediction (John): I think this is the hardest game of the week to pick.  So I'll predict a non-sequitur instead:  Ricky Williams will rack up 300 yards rushing in his last three games and make the Pro Bowl.  Bank on that. 

Oakland (+14) at Denver
John: Oakland (1)
Ryan: Denver (2)
Kevin: Denver (1)

Brilliant Prediction (Ryan): Denver has won the past three meetings between these teams by an average of almost 23 points. Don't expect that to change with a Broncos team that needs to win to stay in control of their own destiny in a crowded AFC wild card race. Bruce Gradkowski will have his work cut out for him against a team that loves to get after the quarterback. Denver wins by a comfortable margin.

Cincinnati (+7) at San Diego
John: San Diego (1)
Ryan: San Diego (2)
Kevin: San Diego (4)

Brilliant Prediction (Kevin): Cincinnati definitely will play inspired football this week after the death of teammate Chris Henry, but the Chargers have been playing so well that it is hard to bet against them, even when they are giving seven to the Bengals.

Chicago (+11) at Baltimore
John: Chicago (2)
Ryan: Chicago (1)
Kevin: Chicago (1)

Brilliant Prediction (John): Apparently the Bears might not make it to Baltimore in time for the game.  That's probably better for them, because they're bound to lose, but the mid-atlantic blizzard should slow this thing down enough that Falco & Co. won't totally run away with it.

Green Bay (+1) at Pittsburgh
John: Green Bay (4)
Ryan: Pittsburgh (1)
Kevin: Green Bay (3)

Brilliant Prediction (Ryan): Somehow the Steelers, losers of 5 straight games, are favored against the Packers, winners of 5 straight games. And somehow, I'm still taking the slight home favorites. Mostly because I'm a homer, but also because the Steelers, 2nd in the league in sacks, are facing the teams who has allowed the most sacks. The Packers looked vulnerable last week against a bad Bears team, so this could be the week they finally stumble. Champs win.

Tampa Bay (+7) at Seattle
John: Tampa Bay (1)
Ryan: Seattle (1)
Kevin: Seattle (2)

Brilliant Prediction (Kevin): The Seahawks are a respectable 4-2 at home.  Tampa Bay has one win and an offense ranked 28th in the NFL. 

Minnesota (-9) at Carolina
John: Minnesota (2)
Ryan: Minnesota (2)
Kevin: Minnesota (1)

Brilliant Prediction (John): For a few weeks in the fall it looked like Carolina might actually be a decent football team, but those days are long gone.  Only one of their five wins is over a team that currently has a winning record.  Add in that the Vikings have been held to less than 30 points only twice since October began—a mark that Carolina has reached once all year—and the Vikes should roll.

NY Giants (-3) at Washington
John: NY Giants (1)
Ryan: NY Giants (1)
Kevin: NY Giants (4)

Brilliant Prediction (Ryan):   
     

4 comments:

  1. Is there a reason for point spread picks to exist on your blog? OH I better lay 2 Gs, on the G-men some random kid is taking the three, please this is more pretentious than blogging about veganism or your hybrid.

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  2. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te6DgGXVY3e

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  3. coincidentally, i took my veganism with the spread last week. fucking hybrid came outta nowhere...

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  4. I couldn't help but note the very in depth analysis of the Philadelphia v. San Francisco game. I am assuming its nearly fully plagiarized from different TV announcers because it is internally inconsistent and frankly not good football analysis. An "aggressive secondary can" [fill in the blank]. We have one week where Arizona got burned, so now apparently a team with its back up corners MIGHT do something. Oh OK, lets mark that down in my ledger. However, I am told that due to wind, throwing will be impaired. Thats odd, in a game where throwing is ostensibly not going to be a major factor, the fact that back up corners MAY play aggressively is going to really be make or break- THAT makes sense. Another thing that can can happen with pressing secondary is that they get torched - Big Risk, Big Reward and the converse. But alternatively, since the passing game is going to be reduced in importance the "power running game" will be bolstered ... by the wind. Apparently if you run North South the wind will propel you like you are wearing a sail, but it will blow the waif-like runners. Ah I get it now. Actually of course, where running is generically more important the quality of the running games will be more important not the style. Perhaps the writer mistook wind - a subset of inclement weather and used this proxy to determine that North South running (which is easier wet/muddy games) would be more useful. Oh whoops tarps exist. So I guess the moral of the story is when on is ripping of NFL talking head(s) they should pick one and stick with it. Thanks.

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